Impact of the 100 Days Mission for Vaccines on COVID-19: A Mathematical Modelling Study
Impact of the 100 Days Mission for Vaccines on COVID-19: A Mathematical Modelling Study
By: Gregory Barnsley, Daniela Olivera Mesa, Alexandra B Hogan, Peter Winskill, Andrew A Torkelson, Damian G Walker, Azra C Ghani, Oliver J Watson
Publication: The Lancet Global Health; November 2024; Volume 12, Issue 11, e1764–e1774.
In a new study in The Lancet Global Health, MSH health financing expert Damian Walker and colleagues modeled how such the 100 Days Mission could have altered the course of the COVID-19 pandemic. Among their findings:
- The 100 Days Mission could have averted 8.33 million deaths globally and saved $14.35 trillion
- With increased investment in vaccine manufacturing and health systems, the number of deaths averted could rise to 11.01 million
- Earlier vaccine rollouts could have reduced global restrictions by 12,600 days while preventing 5.76 million deaths
This study highlights the importance of speeding up vaccine development and ensuring equitable global access to vaccines.